why market is down today

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 Why market is down today

The Indian stock market faced a notable decline on Thursday, June 12, with both the Sensex and Nifty 50 finishing lower. This downturn was influenced by various factors, such as global market trends, geopolitical issues, and domestic economic worries.

 




1. Global Market Selloff and Geopolitical 

Tensions

2. US-China Trade Deal Uncertainty

Global markets have been undergoing a selloff, largely due to the Trump administration's tariff policies, which have incited widespread panic. Additionally, escalating tensions in the Middle East, particularly with the US withdrawing non-essential personnel, have negatively impacted market sentiment. The anticipated US-China trade deal has not improved market confidence, as investors were expecting a more thorough agreement.

 

3. Concerns Over US Economic Slowdown

The uncertainty surrounding the US-China trade deal has added to market apprehension. Although there have been indications of a potential agreement, the specifics remain unclear, and the Chinese government has yet to provide any official confirmation.

 


Despite the softer-than-expected US CPI figures for May, analysts believe that the US Federal Reserve will exercise caution and refrain from implementing any rate cuts in the upcoming June policy meeting due to ongoing uncertainties regarding US tariff policies.

 

4. US Inflation Data and Federal Reserve Policy

Fears of an economic slowdown in the US, driven by tariff policies, continue to be a significant concern for global markets. The World Bank has adjusted its economic growth forecasts, predicting a slowdown in 2025.

 

Stretched valuations in the Indian stock market have led to increased caution among investors. The current P/E ratio of the Nifty 50 exceeds its one-year average, which is causing investors to be more cautious.

 


5. Stretched Valuations in the Indian Stock Market

6. Other Contributing Factors

 

In conclusion, the market decline is attributed to a combination of factors, including global trade tensions, geopolitical issues, and domestic economic factors.


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